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investment bank Lehman Canada Goose Online in Sept 2008

Oil price shock could re

LONDON (Reuters) If oil prices stay where Canada Goose Jackets they are or go even higher, depending canada goose uk black friday on events in uk canada goose outlet the Middle East current short term emerging market portfolio realignments could lead to a canada goose uk outlet wholesale canadian goose jacket reassessment of investor risk.

canada goose uk site Some clear winners and losers in emerging markets have already been thrown up by the spike in oil prices caused by unrest in the region, which has distracted investors from relative yields and valuations. canada goose uk site

Oil rich Russia, Kazakhstan and Venezuela are all attracting investor interest and strongly increased fund flows, while oil canada goose black friday sale poor Turkey and Chile are suffering.

canada goose outlet factory that got more oil is looking better at the moment, so oil exporters would benefit, and oil importers would not, said Allan Conway, head of emerging equities buy canada goose jacket at fund manager Schroders. one of the reasons Turkey is going down. investment bank Lehman Canada Goose Online in Sept 2008. canada goose outlet factory

canada goose outlet paypal BNP Paribas Investment Partners says it is overweight commodity exporters such as Russia in currencies and sovereign bonds, and underweight importers like Turkey. canada goose outlet paypal

canada goose outlet hong kong Turkey imports 95 canada goose clearance sale percent its total energy needs and if oil prices continue at current levels, Turkey could face an additional $10 billion (6 billion pounds) bill for oil imports this year, finance minister Mehmet Simsek said last week. canada goose outlet hong kong

canada goose outlet reviews In contrast, canada goose store oil and gas accounted for canada goose 48 percent of budget revenues last year in Russia, the world top oil producer. canada goose outlet reviews

canada goose parka uk Turkey has Canada Goose Coats On Sale until recently been a favourite of emerging market investors, due to its deft handling domestically of the global financial crisis. canada goose parka uk

GROWTH CHALLENGED Oil has risen $20 so far this year and a sustained price of $110 a barrel in 2011 would cut Turkish growth to 4 percent from expectations of 5.5 percent, according to Renaissance Capital.

Russia would grow at 5.5 percent instead of 4.9 percent and Nigeria at 9.6 percent instead of 7.6 percent, Renaissance added.

Russian equity funds have absorbed fresh money for 14 weeks in a row, according to fund tracker EPFR, their longest inflow since the first quarter of 2008, at a time when global emerging market equity funds have suffered their longest outflow streak since Q3 2008.

canada goose outlet uk The currencies of Russia and Kazakhstan have also been reaping the benefits, with both countries becoming increasingly flexible over trading bands in recent weeks, allowing their currencies to soar. canada goose outlet uk

canada goose outlet toronto the events in the Middle East, the possible appreciation canada goose coats on sale in oil and the macro story, long rouble has been a consensus trade, said Luis Costa, director, emerging markets FX strategy at Citi. canada goose outlet toronto

Meanwhile, energy importer Israel is also under pressure from concern about a tougher peace negotiating environment going forward, with the country debt insurance uk canada goose costs spiking to their highest in nearly two years following the fall of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak.

is going to suffer the most from this change in the region, Turker Hamzaoglu, MENA economist at BoA ML, told a conference call.

canada goose outlet winnipeg address SAUDI NEXT? The Canada Goose online canada goose outlet problem is that it is hard to see what happens from here, investors say. canada goose outlet winnipeg address

If there are peaceful resolutions to many of the region conflicts, oil could fall, reversing current favoured canada goose uk shop positions.

Credit Suisse, for example, last week went overweight in Turkish stocks in an emerging Europe, Middle East and https://www.winterdownparkas.com Africa portfolio, saying valuations had become attractive.

canada goose womens outlet But with Facebook calls for protests in the world top oil exporter Saudi Arabia on March 11, oil could also rise extremely quickly, punching a hole in the global growth outlook canada goose womens outlet.

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